May 13, 2025 4:11 AM EST

NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder 2025-05-13 21:30:00.0

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The Oklahoma City Thunder are heavy 77.5 percent favorites over the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are shooting 47.4 percent from the field and the Thunder are forecasted to shoot 49.5 percent. The rebounding battle is pretty even with the Nuggets projected for 38.9 rebounds vs. 40.2 for the Thunder. The Thunder are committing fewer turnovers at 9.7 vs 16.5 for the Nuggets. The Nuggets are making 12.3 three pointers on 35.6 percent from three point range. The Thunder are making 12.9 three pointers on 36.0 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Nikola Jokic 27.5, Shai Gilgeous Alexander 36.4 ASSISTS: Nikola Jokic 11.4, Shai Gilgeous Alexander 6.6 REBOUNDS: Nikola Jokic 10.9, Isaiah Hartenstein 8.0 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at OKC -10.5 TOTAL 221.0. WIN-LOSS Denver Nuggets 56-37 Oklahoma City Thunder 74-17 ATS Denver Nuggets 46-46 Sweat Barometer -0.4 Oklahoma City Thunder 58-31 Sweat Barometer 3.5 OVER-UNDER Denver Nuggets 54-39 Avg Over/Under Line 7.1 Oklahoma City Thunder 47-41 Avg Over/Under Line -0.5 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Denver Nuggets 47-43 Oklahoma City Thunder 43-42 OVER-UNDER PICKS Denver Nuggets 48-45 Oklahoma City Thunder 37-48

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oklahoma City Thunder

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDOklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road26-20, 57.0% 600Record at Home39-8, 83.0% 3100Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Oklahoma City Thunder4-4, 50.0% -40VS Denver Nuggets4-4, 50.0% -40EVEN
vs Team .500 or Better22-26, 46.0% -660vs Team .500 or Better35-13, 73.0% 2070Oklahoma City Thunder
Record As Road Underdog11-10, 52.0% 0Record As Home Favorite39-8, 83.0% 3020Oklahoma City Thunder
After 1 or More Days Off23-28, 45.0% -780After 1 or More Days Off34-12, 74.0% +2080Oklahoma City Thunder

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Oklahoma City Thunder

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDOklahoma City ThunderATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road27-19, 59.0% 800Record at Home36-10, 78.0% 2600Oklahoma City Thunder
VS Oklahoma City Thunder1-3, 25.0% -230VS Denver Nuggets3-1, 75.0% 190Oklahoma City Thunder
vs Team .500 or Better36-28, 56.0% 520vs Team .500 or Better39-24, 62.0% 1260Oklahoma City Thunder
Record As Road Underdog7-6, 54.0% 40Record As Home Favorite32-7, 82.0% 2430Oklahoma City Thunder
After 1 or More Days Off61-29, 68.0% +2910After 1 or More Days Off62-28, 69.0% +3120Oklahoma City Thunder

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver NuggetsRECORDOklahoma City ThunderRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-20, 57.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-19, 60.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR19-26, 42.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR24-22, 52.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home54-39, 58.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road47-41, 53.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 26-17, 60.0% +730 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 18-24, 43.0% -840 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 1-3, 25.0% -230

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 27-19, 59.0% + 557 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 21-25, 46.0% -589 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 3-3, 50.0% -27 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 2-2, 50.0% -18

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 25-21, 54.0% +1524 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 27-20, 57.0% +-523 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 2-4, 33.0% +243 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Games: 1-3, 25.0% +78

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