April 02, 2025 5:29 PM EST

NBA: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics 2025-04-02 19:30:00.0

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The Boston Celtics are heavy 86.1 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Heat are shooting 45.3 percent from the field and the Celtics are forecasted to shoot 48.0 percent. The Celtics have the rebounding advantage at 44.9 to 37.1. The Celtics are committing fewer turnovers at 9.8 vs 13.8 for the Heat. The Heat are making 13.4 three pointers on 34.0 percent from three point range. The Celtics are making 15.8 three pointers on 35.6 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Tyler Herro 24.3, Jayson Tatum 39.0 ASSISTS: Tyler Herro 6.0, Jayson Tatum 10.6 REBOUNDS: Bam Adebayo 8.2, Jayson Tatum 8.9 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at BOS -10.0 TOTAL 213.0. WIN-LOSS Miami Heat 34-41 Boston Celtics 56-19 ATS Miami Heat 37-34 Sweat Barometer -0.3 Boston Celtics 35-40 Sweat Barometer 0.0 OVER-UNDER Miami Heat 39-36 Avg Over/Under Line 3.1 Boston Celtics 35-40 Avg Over/Under Line 0.4 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Miami Heat 29-40 Boston Celtics 36-36 OVER-UNDER PICKS Miami Heat 35-38 Boston Celtics 39-34

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Celtics

Miami HeatATS RECORDBoston CelticsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road16-22, 42.0% -600Record at Home24-12, 67.0% 1200Boston Celtics
VS Boston Celtics0-3, 0.0% -330VS Miami Heat3-0, 100.0% 300Boston Celtics
vs Team .500 or Better9-26, 26.0% -1960vs Team Under .50034-8, 81.0% 2520Boston Celtics
Record As Road Underdog8-16, 33.0% -960Record As Home Favorite24-12, 67.0% 1080Boston Celtics
After 1 or More Days Off23-17, 57.0% +430After 1 or More Days Off17-23, 43.0% -830Miami Heat

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Celtics

Miami HeatATS RECORDBoston CelticsATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road25-20, 56.0% 500Record at Home46-6, 88.0% 4000Boston Celtics
VS Boston Celtics1-7, 13.0% -670VS Miami Heat7-1, 88.0% 590Boston Celtics
vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410vs Team .500 or Better50-18, 74.0% 3020Boston Celtics
Record As Road Underdog13-16, 45.0% -460Record As Home Favorite45-6, 88.0% 3840Boston Celtics
After 1 or More Days Off48-38, 56.0% +620After 1 or More Days Off78-19, 80.0% +5710Boston Celtics

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami HeatRECORDBoston CelticsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD17-21, 45.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-17, 53.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-4, 20.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR17-28, 38.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR30-21, 59.0% OverUNDER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home39-36, 52.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road35-40, 47.0%UNDER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 15-21, 42.0% -810 Boston Celtics Home Games: 16-17, 48.0% -270 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130 Boston Celtics Home Games: 4-2, 67.0% +180

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 18-20, 47.0% -362 Boston Celtics Home Games: 18-16, 53.0% + 38 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 3-2, 60.0% + 73 Boston Celtics Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% + 73

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Miami Heat Road Games: 14-24, 37.0% -524 Boston Celtics Home Games: 20-16, 56.0% 588 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Heat Road Games: 1-4, 20.0% -296 Boston Celtics Home Games: 4-2, 67.0% 0

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