March 21, 2025 8:26 PM EST

NBA: Houston Rockets vs. Miami Heat 2025-03-21 20:00:00.0

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The Houston Rockets are solid 67.0 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Rockets are shooting 45.8 percent from the field and the Heat are forecasted to shoot 44.8 percent. The Rockets have the rebounding advantage at 47.5 to 40.6. The Rockets are committing fewer turnovers at 12.0 vs 13.7 for the Heat. The Rockets are making 13.4 three pointers on 34.2 percent from three point range. The Heat are making 14.6 three pointers on 36.0 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Jalen Green 22.4, Tyler Herro 22.4 ASSISTS: Alperen Sengun 5.4, Tyler Herro 5.2 REBOUNDS: Alperen Sengun 9.2, Bam Adebayo 9.1 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIA 5.0 TOTAL 213.5. WIN-LOSS Houston Rockets 45-25 Miami Heat 29-40 ATS Houston Rockets 39-31 Sweat Barometer 1.2 Miami Heat 31-34 Sweat Barometer -1.5 OVER-UNDER Houston Rockets 36-33 Avg Over/Under Line 3.0 Miami Heat 37-32 Avg Over/Under Line 3.6 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Houston Rockets 35-32 Miami Heat 28-35 OVER-UNDER PICKS Houston Rockets 39-29 Miami Heat 32-35

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Rockets

Houston RocketsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road19-15, 56.0% 400Record at Home15-18, 45.0% -300Houston Rockets
VS Miami Heat0-1, 0.0% -110VS Houston Rockets1-0, 100.0% 100Miami Heat
vs Team Under .50026-8, 76.0% 1720vs Team .500 or Better8-27, 23.0% -2170Houston Rockets
Record as Road Favorite13-4, 76.0% 860Record as Home Underdog3-9, 25.0% -690Houston Rockets
After 1 or More Days Off27-13, 68.0% +1270After 1 or More Days Off19-17, 53.0% +30Houston Rockets

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Rockets

Houston RocketsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road14-27, 34.0% -1300Record at Home23-20, 53.0% 300Miami Heat
VS Miami Heat0-2, 0.0% -220VS Houston Rockets2-0, 100.0% 200Miami Heat
vs Team .500 or Better20-32, 38.0% -1520vs Team .500 or Better20-31, 39.0% -1410Miami Heat
Record as Road Favorite9-2, 82.0% 680Record as Home Underdog0-12, 0.0% -1320Houston Rockets
After 1 or More Days Off39-39, 50.0% -390After 1 or More Days Off48-38, 56.0% +620Miami Heat

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston RocketsRECORDMiami HeatRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-14, 59.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-13, 61.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-19, 53.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR21-22, 49.0% OverOVER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home36-31, 54.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road37-29, 56.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 18-14, 56.0% +260 Miami Heat Home Games: 14-15, 48.0% -250 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 2-3, 40.0% -130 Miami Heat Home Games: 4-5, 44.0% -150

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 16-17, 48.0% -244 Miami Heat Home Games: 16-15, 52.0% -44 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 3-2, 60.0% + 73 Miami Heat Home Games: 5-4, 56.0% + 55

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 15-19, 44.0% -483 Miami Heat Home Games: 16-17, 48.0% 325 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Rockets Road Games: 5-0, 100.0% +359 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-7, 30.0% -205

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