Written by Rohit Ghosh
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LA Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors: Game 6

Following the Donald Sterling fiasco that took place earlier this week, the Los Angeles Clippers rode a wave of momentum Tuesday night as they beat the Golden State Warriors 113-103 to take a 3-2 lead in the series. For those keeping track, AccuScore’s projected score for game five was 111-101. DeAndre Jordan led way for the Clippers in game five with a dominating 25-point, 18-rebound performance. The Warriors were able to keep the game close, but turnovers and points off turnovers created too much of a deficit by the end of the fourth. Stephen Curry led the way with 8 turnovers. Curry finished the night with fewer field goals than turnovers. If the Warriors want to extend the series to seven games, Curry will have to play more like his regular-season self than the product we all saw in game five.



AccuScore has the Los Angeles Clippers as slight 54.1 percent favorites to win game six of their best-of-seven series against the Golden State Warriors. The average rounded score after 10,000 simulations is 103-101, with the Clippers having a 51.3 percent chance of covering the -1.5 spread. Being the home team, the Warriors have a better chance at a close win (4 points or less). The Clippers have close to double the chance of the Warriors at a big win (10 points or more).

AccuScore’s Super computer has star-rated picks against the spread and on Over/Unders for every NBA playoff game with free live updated odds. See: NBA Playoffs Odds and Expert Picks

Betting Trends

• The Clippers are 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 games.
• The Clippers are 18-7 straight up (SU) in their last 25 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Clippers’ last 8 games.
• The Clippers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road.
• The Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Warriors’ last 8 games.
• The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
• The Warriors are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games at home.

Projected Leaders

Blake Griffin: 20 points (50% FG), 10 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal

Chris Paul: 19 points (45% FG), 11 assists, 5 rebounds, 3 TOs

Jamal Crawford: 15 points (2-5 3PM-3PA), 3 assists

Stephen Curry: 24 points (3-7 3PM-3PA), 9 assists, 5 rebounds, 2 steals, 4 TOs

Klay Thompson: 16 points (2-6 3PM-3PA), 3 rebounds

David Lee: 15 points (51% FG), 10 rebounds, 1 steal

What to Watch For

During the regular season, Curry averaged 24 points on nearly 18 shots per game. Following a 17-point first quarter in game four, Curry managed to put up just three shots in the first half of game five. The trend continued as Curry finished with fewer made field goals (5) than turnovers (8). The Clippers are focusing on trapping on-ball screens, forcing the ball out of Curry’s hands as much as possible. If Curry doesn’t get some shots up early in game six, expect to see the ball in the hands of Andre Iguodala more in an attempt to get Curry free with some off-ball movement. Iggy is projected to finish with 4 assists.

When looking at the betting trends, it seems like a good pick to take the Warriors and the points in a situation like tonight’s. The Warriors have won 16 of their past 19 home games against the Clippers and can legitimately live of the three-point shot up at Oracle. The Warriors are projected to attempt about three more three-pointers than the Clippers.