The Toronto Blue Jays are 42-36 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 44-33 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Yusei Kikuchi is forecasted to have a better game than Rays starter Aaron Civale. Yusei Kikuchi has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Aaron Civale has a 38% chance of a QS. If Yusei Kikuchi has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 55%. In Aaron Civale quality starts the Rays win 71%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Davis Schneider who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 55% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 44-33, 57% 9 | Record at Home | 42-36, 54% -780 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 5-5, 50% -128 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 5-5, 50% 25 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 46-43, 52% -829 | vs Team .500 or Better | 42-48, 47% -1172 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 9-13, 41% -347 | Record As Home Favorite | 36-32, 53% -1018 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Aaron Civale Starts | 13-8, 62% 153 | When Yusei Kikuchi Starts | 20-10, 67% 689 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-5, 62% 163 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% -161 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-2, 33% -126 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 2-1, 67% 132 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-5, 55% 14 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% -207 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-2, 33% -82 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-5, 62% -61 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Aaron Civale Starts | 2-1, 67% 97 | When Yusei Kikuchi Starts | 3-1, 75% 130 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 36-36, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 29-44, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-43, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-36, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Aaron Civale STARTS | 11-10, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Yusei Kikuchi STARTS | 13-15, 46% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 31-46, 40% -3049 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 46-32, 59% +980 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-7, 46% -320 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 10-4, 71% +301
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 42-35, 55% -456 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 39-39, 50% -1371 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-8, 38% -410 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 8-6, 57% -161
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 34-34, 50% -340 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 28-31, 47% -610 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370
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