The Detroit Tigers are 35-43 at home this season and the Cleveland Guardians are 33-45 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Joey Wentz has a 39% chance of a QS and Cal Quantrill a 41% chance. If Joey Wentz has a quality start the Tigers has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 54%. If Cal Quantrill has a quality start the Guardians has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 60%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Kerry Carpenter who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Josh Naylor who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-45, 42% -1056 | Record at Home | 35-43, 45% -441 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 3-7, 30% -502 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 7-3, 70% 551 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 34-39, 47% -1373 | vs Team .500 or Better | 31-54, 36% -628 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 13-17, 43% -735 | Record as Home Underdog | 24-34, 41% -268 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Cal Quantrill Starts | 8-10, 44% -148 | When Joey Wentz Starts | 6-13, 32% -389 | Cleveland Guardians |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-8, 27% -470 | Record at Home | 7-4, 64% 82 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-9, 53% 175 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-7, 50% 0 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-6, 14% -524 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-2, 50% 1 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Cal Quantrill Starts | 2-3, 40% -26 | When Joey Wentz Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 39-37, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 41-34, 55% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-44, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-46, 40% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Cal Quantrill STARTS | 6-12, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Joey Wentz STARTS | 11-7, 61% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 40-38, 51% +92 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 39-39, 50% -241 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-4, 64% +683 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 8-3, 73% +344
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 44-34, 56% +38 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 38-40, 49% -1206 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 6-5, 55% +186 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 9-2, 82% +409
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 37-34, 52% -40 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 31-37, 46% -970 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270
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