The Miami Marlins are 42-33 at home this season and the New York Mets are 31-42 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Braxton Garrett has a 41% chance of a QS and Joey Lucchesi a 41% chance. If Braxton Garrett has a quality start the Marlins has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.4 and he has a 55% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 52%. If Joey Lucchesi has a quality start the Mets has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Luis Arraez who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Ronny Mauricio who averaged 4.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| New York Mets | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 31-42, 42% -1437 | Record at Home | 42-33, 56% 262 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 5-2, 71% 156 | VS New York Mets | 2-5, 29% -268 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 39-50, 44% -1354 | vs Team .500 or Better | 36-48, 43% -729 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-27, 31% -1285 | Record As Home Favorite | 26-19, 58% -200 | Miami Marlins |
| When Joey Lucchesi Starts | 4-2, 67% 194 | When Braxton Garrett Starts | 21-9, 70% 1093 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| New York Mets | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-6, 33% -192 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% 197 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-9, 44% -45 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-2, 71% 96 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-4, 33% -60 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-3, 25% -247 | New York Mets |
| When Joey Lucchesi Starts | 1-0, 100% 128 | When Braxton Garrett Starts | 2-2, 50% -52 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 34-34, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 36-37, 49% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-3, 73% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-36, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-39, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Joey Lucchesi STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Braxton Garrett STARTS | 15-15, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 39-34, 53% +228 Miami Marlins Home Games: 44-31, 59% +1109 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 5-4, 56% +340 Miami Marlins Home Games: 8-3, 73% +639
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 42-31, 58% -181 Miami Marlins Home Games: 45-30, 60% +548 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 6-3, 67% +112 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-7, 36% -379
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 33-26, 56% + 440 Miami Marlins Home Games: 35-27, 56% + 530 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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