The Cincinnati Reds are 37-38 at home this season and the Minnesota Twins are 36-39 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Fernando Cruz has a 38% chance of a QS and Kenta Maeda a 37% chance. If Fernando Cruz has a quality start the Reds has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 48%. If Kenta Maeda has a quality start the Twins has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 50%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Jake Fraley who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Edouard Julien who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 65% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 36-39, 48% -608 | Record at Home | 37-38, 49% 111 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 34-36, 49% -177 | vs Team .500 or Better | 41-45, 48% 581 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record as Road Favorite | 21-17, 55% -268 | Record as Home Underdog | 25-27, 48% 356 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Kenta Maeda Starts | 9-11, 45% -439 | When Fernando Cruz Starts | 1-0, 100% 120 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-5, 58% 111 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -41 | Minnesota Twins |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-7, 42% -334 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-8, 47% 3 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-3, 62% 23 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-5, 44% -26 | Minnesota Twins |
| When Kenta Maeda Starts | 3-2, 60% -22 | When Fernando Cruz Starts | 1-0, 100% 120 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 38-36, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 33-42, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-3, 75% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-34, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-38, 51% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kenta Maeda STARTS | 12-8, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Fernando Cruz STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 41-34, 55% +33 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 33-42, 44% -714 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 8-4, 67% -81 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 5-6, 45% -41
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 42-33, 56% -202 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 39-36, 52% -437 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 8-4, 67% +156 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 4-7, 36% -359
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 31-33, 48% -530 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 39-32, 55% + 380 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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