September 19, 2023 3:31 AM CDT

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres 9/19/2023

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The San Diego Padres are 39-35 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 22-53 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres starter Blake Snell is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Ryan Feltner. Blake Snell has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ryan Feltner has a 31% chance of a QS. If Blake Snell has a quality start the Padres has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 65%. In Ryan Feltner quality starts the Rockies win 66%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Juan Soto who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Hunter Goodman who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 49% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies

Colorado RockiesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-53, 29% -1702Record at Home39-35, 53% -916San Diego Padres
VS San Diego Padres4-6, 40% 70VS Colorado Rockies6-4, 60% -85Colorado Rockies
vs Team Under .50028-28, 50% 1103vs Team Under .50026-23, 53% -754Colorado Rockies
Record As Road Underdog22-53, 29% -1702Record As Home Favorite34-28, 55% -776San Diego Padres
When Ryan Feltner Starts5-3, 62% 414When Blake Snell Starts16-15, 52% -351Colorado Rockies

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

Colorado RockiesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-10, 17% -632Record at Home6-4, 60% 23San Diego Padres
VS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesVS Colorado Rockies0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-13, 28% -490vs Team Under .5007-3, 70% 129San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog2-10, 17% -632Record As Home Favorite5-2, 71% 127San Diego Padres
When Ryan Feltner Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Blake Snell Starts4-2, 67% 137San Diego Padres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado RockiesRECORDSan Diego PadresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD30-42, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME30-41, 42% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-41, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-47, 43% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Feltner STARTS4-4, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Blake Snell STARTS11-19, 37% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 44-31, 59% +696 San Diego Padres Home Games: 35-39, 47% -419 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 8-4, 67% +83 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-4, 60% +23

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 54-21, 72% +389 San Diego Padres Home Games: 40-34, 54% -665 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 10-2, 83% +196 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-4, 60% +23

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 38-29, 57% + 610 San Diego Padres Home Games: 28-32, 47% -720 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 8-1, 89% + 690 San Diego Padres Home Games: 2-5, 29% -350

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