The Atlanta Braves are 36-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 27-29 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Yonny Chirinos has a 32% chance of a QS and Reid Detmers a 30% chance. If Yonny Chirinos has a quality start the Braves has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 70%. If Reid Detmers has a quality start the Angels has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 38%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Shohei Ohtani (p) who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 27-29, 48% -118 | Record at Home | 36-20, 64% -124 | Los Angeles Angels |
VS Atlanta Braves | 1-1, 50% 94 | VS Los Angeles Angels | 1-1, 50% -60 | Los Angeles Angels |
vs Team .500 or Better | 31-36, 46% -465 | vs Team .500 or Better | 40-24, 62% 107 | Atlanta Braves |
Record As Road Underdog | 16-21, 43% -80 | Record As Home Favorite | 36-20, 64% -124 | Los Angeles Angels |
When Reid Detmers Starts | 5-11, 31% -586 | When Yonny Chirinos Starts | 3-1, 75% 98 | Atlanta Braves |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 5-8, 38% -185 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -214 | Los Angeles Angels |
VS Atlanta Braves | 1-1, 50% 94 | VS Los Angeles Angels | 1-1, 50% -60 | Los Angeles Angels |
vs Team .500 or Better | 3-10, 23% -524 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-4, 60% -61 | Atlanta Braves |
Record As Road Underdog | 3-8, 27% -338 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-5, 55% -214 | Atlanta Braves |
When Reid Detmers Starts | 1-3, 25% -182 | When Yonny Chirinos Starts | 1-0, 100% 60 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 29-26, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 32-19, 63% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-37, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
OVER-UNDER IN Reid Detmers STARTS | 8-6, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Yonny Chirinos STARTS | 3-1, 75% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 26-30, 46% -924 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 24-32, 43% -1421 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 4-9, 31% -547 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-7, 36% -505
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 30-26, 54% -386 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 36-20, 64% -66 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-6, 54% -194 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-5, 55% -214
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 26-23, 53% + 70 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 26-21, 55% + 290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 9-4, 69% + 460 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 2-6, 25% -460
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