The New York Yankees are 22-18 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 25-16 at home. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Max Fried is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman. Max Fried has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kevin Gausman has a 48% chance of a QS. If Max Fried has a quality start the Yankees has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 62%. In Kevin Gausman quality starts the Blue Jays win 58%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 73% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-18, 55% -321 | Record at Home | 25-16, 61% 432 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 2-1, 67% 13 | VS New York Yankees | 1-2, 33% -80 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 20-17, 54% -256 | vs Team .500 or Better | 17-22, 44% -531 | New York Yankees |
| Record as Road Favorite | 20-13, 61% -59 | Record as Home Underdog | 10-6, 62% 440 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Max Fried Starts | 13-5, 72% 155 | When Kevin Gausman Starts | 8-8, 50% -90 | New York Yankees |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% -112 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% 52 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-11, 35% -718 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-6, 60% 228 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-4, 50% -157 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-1, 67% 93 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Max Fried Starts | 3-3, 50% -170 | When Kevin Gausman Starts | 3-2, 60% 45 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-22, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-16, 58% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-40, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-34, 56% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Max Fried STARTS | 7-10, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS | 9-5, 64% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 16-24, 40% -836 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 23-18, 56% +364 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 4-6, 40% -69 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-5, 50% +96
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 23-17, 58% -77 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 24-17, 59% +158 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-7, 30% -501 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-4, 60% +50
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 17-18, 49% -280 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 19-17, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-1, 88% + 590
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