The Cleveland Guardians are 17-11 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 15-17 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Nick Lodolo is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Luis Ortiz. Nick Lodolo has a 41% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Ortiz has a 27% chance of a QS. If Nick Lodolo has a quality start the Reds has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 52%. In Luis Ortiz quality starts the Guardians win 76%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 76% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 83% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 15-17, 47% -165 | Record at Home | 17-11, 61% 261 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 3-0, 100% 287 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-3, 0% -300 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 16-19, 46% -318 | vs Team Under .500 | 13-11, 54% -69 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-11, 48% 72 | Record As Home Favorite | 11-5, 69% 206 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Nick Lodolo Starts | 6-7, 46% -170 | When Luis Ortiz Starts | 5-7, 42% -151 | Cleveland Guardians |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-6, 45% -76 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -161 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 3-0, 100% 287 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-3, 0% -300 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 7-5, 58% 105 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-6, 60% 308 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 147 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-2, 60% -17 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Nick Lodolo Starts | 2-3, 40% -118 | When Luis Ortiz Starts | 2-3, 40% -12 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-18, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-15, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-42, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Nick Lodolo STARTS | 5-7, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luis Ortiz STARTS | 5-7, 42% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 16-16, 50% -423 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 16-12, 57% +210 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-6, 45% -319 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-4, 64% +276
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 20-12, 62% +331 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 19-9, 68% +508 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 7-4, 64% +177 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 8-3, 73% +276
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 9-19, 32% -1190 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 12-8, 60% + 320 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
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