The Milwaukee Brewers are 18-10 at home this season and the San Diego Padres are 15-15 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Aaron Civale has a 53% chance of a QS and Ryan Bergert a 56% chance. If Aaron Civale has a quality start the Brewers has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 54%. If Ryan Bergert has a quality start the Padres has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 1.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Jackson Merrill who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 15-15, 50% -3 | Record at Home | 18-10, 64% 508 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 13-19, 41% -664 | vs Team .500 or Better | 15-19, 44% -366 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-7, 59% 478 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-3, 80% 619 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Ryan Bergert Starts | 1-0, 100% 130 | When Aaron Civale Starts | 3-1, 75% 137 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-6, 50% 33 | Record at Home | 6-3, 67% 210 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-4, 33% -299 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-6, 50% 111 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-1, 80% 430 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-1, 83% 280 | San Diego Padres |
| When Ryan Bergert Starts | 1-0, 100% 130 | When Aaron Civale Starts | 2-0, 100% 175 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-15, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-17, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-41, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-34, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Bergert STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Aaron Civale STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 19-11, 63% +647 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 14-14, 50% -218 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 9-3, 75% +675 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-4, 56% +49
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 18-12, 60% +284 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 16-12, 57% +74 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 8-4, 67% +303 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 4-5, 44% -181
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 13-12, 52% -20 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 11-16, 41% -660 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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