The Tampa Bay Rays are 20-19 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 9-17 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Drew Rasmussen is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Anthony Veneziano. Drew Rasmussen has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Anthony Veneziano has a 29% chance of a QS. If Drew Rasmussen has a quality start the Rays has a 89% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 82%. In Anthony Veneziano quality starts the Marlins win 51%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 83% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Agustin Ramirez who averaged 1.7 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 43% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-17, 35% -219 | Record at Home | 20-19, 51% -336 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 2-1, 67% 135 | VS Miami Marlins | 1-2, 33% -132 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-22, 33% -364 | vs Team Under .500 | 13-13, 50% -296 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-15, 35% -84 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-12, 57% -56 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Anthony Veneziano Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 6-6, 50% -142 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-7, 42% -104 | Record at Home | 11-3, 79% 643 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 2-1, 67% 135 | VS Miami Marlins | 1-2, 33% -132 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-8, 47% 85 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-2, 60% 15 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-5, 44% 31 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-2, 80% 428 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Anthony Veneziano Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 4-1, 80% 190 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-11, 58% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 14-22, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-10, 23% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-47, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-42, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Anthony Veneziano STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Drew Rasmussen STARTS | 3-9, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 10-16, 38% -141 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 24-15, 62% +625 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 4-8, 33% -286 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 11-3, 79% +687
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 16-10, 62% -200 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 24-15, 62% +403 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 7-5, 58% -71 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 10-4, 71% +467
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 13-9, 59% + 310 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 21-12, 64% + 780 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 11-2, 85% + 880
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
