The Cleveland Guardians are 17-11 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 11-16 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Logan Allen has a 45% chance of a QS and Hayden Wesneski a 42% chance. If Logan Allen has a quality start the Guardians has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 61%. If Hayden Wesneski has a quality start the Astros has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-16, 41% -537 | Record at Home | 17-11, 61% 261 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-21, 52% -117 | vs Team .500 or Better | 20-15, 57% 565 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-8, 43% -80 | Record As Home Favorite | 11-5, 69% 206 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Hayden Wesneski Starts | 2-4, 33% -227 | When Logan Allen Starts | 4-5, 44% -108 | Cleveland Guardians |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-5, 44% -6 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% -63 | Houston Astros |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-4, 43% -162 | vs Team .500 or Better | 11-8, 58% 348 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-3, 50% 120 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-2, 60% -17 | Houston Astros |
| When Hayden Wesneski Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Logan Allen Starts | 1-2, 33% -120 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-15, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-15, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-7, 22% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Hayden Wesneski STARTS | 1-4, 20% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Logan Allen STARTS | 3-5, 38% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 15-12, 56% +176 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 16-12, 57% +210 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-3, 67% +366 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-5, 58% +176
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 14-13, 52% -114 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 19-9, 68% +508 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-4, 56% +50 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 8-4, 67% +176
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 10-9, 53% + 10 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 12-8, 60% + 320 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 180 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270
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