June 07, 2025 3:09 AM EST

Chicago Cubs vs Detroit Tigers 6/7/2025

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The Detroit Tigers are 21-8 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 18-12 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Jameson Taillon is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Keider Montero. Jameson Taillon has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Keider Montero has a 34% chance of a QS. If Jameson Taillon has a quality start the Cubs has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 57%. In Keider Montero quality starts the Tigers win 71%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Chicago CubsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road18-12, 60% 546Record at Home21-8, 72% 724Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesVS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better12-13, 48% -98vs Team .500 or Better23-18, 56% 290Detroit Tigers
Record as Road Favorite11-5, 69% 329Record as Home Underdog4-1, 80% 368Detroit Tigers
When Jameson Taillon Starts6-6, 50% -193When Keider Montero Starts3-2, 60% 98Detroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Chicago CubsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% 4Record at Home8-5, 62% 69Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesVS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-3, 40% -105vs Team .500 or Better5-5, 50% -134Chicago Cubs
Record as Road Favorite5-3, 62% 74Record as Home Underdog2-0, 100% 198Detroit Tigers
When Jameson Taillon Starts3-2, 60% -35When Keider Montero Starts2-1, 67% 121Detroit Tigers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-10, 66% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-18, 33% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-2, 80% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-36, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-43, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jameson Taillon STARTS7-5, 58% OverOVER-UNDER IN Keider Montero STARTS2-3, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 12-18, 40% -864 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 16-13, 55% +124 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 6-5, 55% -115 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-8, 38% -395

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 13-17, 43% -684 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 20-9, 69% +454 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-6, 45% -187 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-6, 54% -116

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 21-8, 72% + 1220 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 14-11, 56% + 190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-2, 80% + 580 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-7, 36% -370

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