June 04, 2025 11:53 AM EST

Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals 6/4/2025

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The St. Louis Cardinals are 19-8 at home this season and the Kansas City Royals are 12-16 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Miles Mikolas has a 51% chance of a QS and Noah Cameron a 52% chance. If Miles Mikolas has a quality start the Cardinals has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 58%. If Noah Cameron has a quality start the Royals has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.3 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Maikel Garcia who averaged 2.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 63% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-16, 43% -155Record at Home19-8, 70% 967St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals1-2, 33% -111VS Kansas City Royals2-1, 67% 132St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better18-23, 44% -275vs Team .500 or Better16-12, 57% 504St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog11-12, 48% 168Record As Home Favorite9-4, 69% 260St. Louis Cardinals
When Noah Cameron Starts1-2, 33% -102When Miles Mikolas Starts7-6, 54% 131St. Louis Cardinals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-5, 44% -24Record at Home7-2, 78% 376St. Louis Cardinals
VS St. Louis Cardinals1-2, 33% -111VS Kansas City Royals2-1, 67% 132St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team .500 or Better4-8, 33% -361vs Team .500 or Better6-3, 67% 336St. Louis Cardinals
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 76Record As Home Favorite5-1, 83% 264St. Louis Cardinals
When Noah Cameron Starts1-2, 33% -102When Miles Mikolas Starts5-1, 83% 402St. Louis Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-18, 31% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME14-12, 54% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-49, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-43, 47% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Noah Cameron STARTS0-3, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS7-6, 54% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 16-12, 57% +709 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 18-9, 67% +786 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-3, 67% +627 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-3, 67% +181

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 15-13, 54% -101 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 19-8, 70% +795 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -128 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 8-1, 89% +517

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 17-6, 74% + 1040 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 16-9, 64% + 610 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170

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