The Pittsburgh Pirates are 13-16 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 10-15 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Mike Burrows has a 38% chance of a QS and Ryan Gusto a 37% chance. If Mike Burrows has a quality start the Pirates has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 58%. If Ryan Gusto has a quality start the Astros has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jeremy Pena who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-15, 40% -573 | Record at Home | 13-16, 45% -217 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-6, 60% 43 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-27, 27% -1368 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-7, 42% -357 | Record as Home Underdog | 8-10, 44% 11 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Ryan Gusto Starts | 3-4, 43% -166 | When Mike Burrows Starts | 1-1, 50% 110 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% -162 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% 282 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-5, 69% 425 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-10, 23% -611 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-1, 67% 54 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-4, 50% 113 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Ryan Gusto Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | When Mike Burrows Starts | 1-1, 50% 110 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-13, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 13-14, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Gusto STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mike Burrows STARTS | 2-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 14-11, 56% +171 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 13-16, 45% -245 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-5, 50% +61 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-6, 40% -288
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 13-12, 52% -119 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 13-16, 45% -568 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-5, 50% -75 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-5, 50% -120
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 8-9, 47% -190 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 12-12, 50% -120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 2-4, 33% -240 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140
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