The Miami Marlins are 14-18 at home this season and the Colorado Rockies are 4-28 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Cal Quantrill has a 42% chance of a QS and Kyle Freeland a 41% chance. If Cal Quantrill has a quality start the Marlins has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 51%. If Kyle Freeland has a quality start the Rockies has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rockies win 61%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Kyle Stowers who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Jordan Beck who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-28, 12% -1991 | Record at Home | 14-18, 44% -118 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 1-0, 100% 164 | VS Colorado Rockies | 0-1, 0% -100 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-14, 26% -562 | vs Team Under .500 | 12-13, 48% 27 | Miami Marlins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-0 No Games | Record as Home Underdog | 12-16, 43% -65 | Colorado Rockies |
| When Kyle Freeland Starts | 1-11, 8% -895 | When Cal Quantrill Starts | 6-5, 55% 554 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-11, 15% -666 | Record at Home | 5-8, 38% -45 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 1-0, 100% 164 | VS Colorado Rockies | 0-1, 0% -100 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-7, 30% -41 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-7, 30% -399 | Colorado Rockies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-0 No Games | Record as Home Underdog | 5-7, 42% 55 | Miami Marlins |
| When Kyle Freeland Starts | 0-5, 0% -500 | When Cal Quantrill Starts | 3-2, 60% 305 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-22, 31% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-15, 53% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-9, 31% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Freeland STARTS | 4-8, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Cal Quantrill STARTS | 5-6, 45% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 24-8, 75% +1140 Miami Marlins Home Games: 18-14, 56% +194 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 11-2, 85% +654 Miami Marlins Home Games: 9-4, 69% +566
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 28-4, 88% +613 Miami Marlins Home Games: 18-14, 56% -158 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 11-2, 85% +128 Miami Marlins Home Games: 8-5, 62% +49
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 14-13, 52% -30 Miami Marlins Home Games: 13-16, 45% -460 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50
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