The Miami Marlins are 14-18 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 4-28 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Chase Dollander. Sandy Alcantara has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Chase Dollander has a 43% chance of a QS. If Sandy Alcantara has a quality start the Marlins has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 58%. In Chase Dollander quality starts the Rockies win 66%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Kyle Stowers who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Hunter Goodman who averaged 1.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-28, 12% -1991 | Record at Home | 14-18, 44% -118 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 1-0, 100% 164 | VS Colorado Rockies | 0-1, 0% -100 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-14, 26% -562 | vs Team Under .500 | 12-13, 48% 27 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-28, 12% -1991 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-2, 50% -53 | Miami Marlins |
| When Chase Dollander Starts | 1-5, 17% -280 | When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 4-7, 36% -304 | Colorado Rockies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-12, 14% -766 | Record at Home | 5-9, 36% -145 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 1-0, 100% 164 | VS Colorado Rockies | 0-1, 0% -100 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-3, 40% 134 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-8, 27% -334 | Colorado Rockies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-12, 14% -766 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-1, 0% -100 | Miami Marlins |
| When Chase Dollander Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 1-4, 20% -335 | Colorado Rockies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-22, 31% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-15, 53% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chase Dollander STARTS | 2-4, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Sandy Alcantara STARTS | 7-4, 64% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 24-8, 75% +1140 Miami Marlins Home Games: 18-14, 56% +194 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 12-2, 86% +681 Miami Marlins Home Games: 9-5, 64% +466
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 28-4, 88% +613 Miami Marlins Home Games: 18-14, 56% -158 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 12-2, 86% +155 Miami Marlins Home Games: 8-6, 57% -51
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 14-13, 52% -30 Miami Marlins Home Games: 13-16, 45% -460 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
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