The Cleveland Guardians are 20-18 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 19-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Logan Allen. Matthew Liberatore has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Logan Allen has a 45% chance of a QS. If Matthew Liberatore has a quality start the Cardinals has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 53%. In Logan Allen quality starts the Guardians win 67%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-21, 48% -200 | Record at Home | 20-18, 53% -198 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-0, 100% 81 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-1, 0% -100 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 27-23, 54% 413 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-29, 42% -690 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 8-5, 62% 100 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-10, 41% -254 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Matthew Liberatore Starts | 6-8, 43% -215 | When Logan Allen Starts | 7-8, 47% -141 | Cleveland Guardians |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% -60 | Record at Home | 5-8, 38% -456 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-0, 100% 81 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-1, 0% -100 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-2, 67% 71 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-7, 30% -377 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-2, 71% 139 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-4, 20% -309 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Matthew Liberatore Starts | 2-3, 40% -143 | When Logan Allen Starts | 3-2, 60% 67 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-18, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-20, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-41, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Liberatore STARTS | 8-6, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Logan Allen STARTS | 6-8, 43% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 20-20, 50% -35 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 20-18, 53% +42 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 3-8, 27% -396 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 4-9, 31% -468
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 23-17, 58% +100 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 24-14, 63% +435 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-5, 55% -51 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-6, 54% -70
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 12-20, 38% -1000 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 17-13, 57% + 270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 3-8, 27% -580 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
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