June 28, 2025 5:24 AM EST

Athletics vs New York Yankees 6/28/2025

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The New York Yankees are 25-16 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Athletics who are 18-24 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Max Fried is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics starter Joey Estes. Max Fried has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Joey Estes has a 12% chance of a QS. If Max Fried has a quality start the Yankees has a 92% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 78%. In Joey Estes quality starts the Athletics win 61%. He has a 11% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 3.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 61% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 83% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Jacob Wilson who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 34% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

AthleticsRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road18-24, 43% -463Record at Home25-16, 61% -129New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees1-3, 25% -170VS Athletics3-1, 75% 82New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better14-38, 27% -2006vs Team Under .50024-14, 63% -43New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog11-23, 32% -870Record As Home Favorite24-16, 60% -222New York Yankees
When Joey Estes Starts5-10, 33% -440When Max Fried Starts13-4, 76% 255New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

AthleticsRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-10, 29% -467Record at Home7-7, 50% -385New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees0-1, 0% -100VS Athletics1-0, 100% 40New York Yankees
vs Team Under .5005-6, 45% 59vs Team Under .5006-1, 86% 221New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog4-10, 29% -467Record As Home Favorite7-7, 50% -385New York Yankees
When Joey Estes Starts1-4, 20% -290When Max Fried Starts3-3, 50% -170New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

AthleticsRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-18, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-25, 39% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-6, 57% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-10, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-39, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-38, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Joey Estes STARTS10-5, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Max Fried STARTS7-9, 44% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 23-19, 55% +180 New York Yankees Home Games: 20-21, 49% -467 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 9-5, 64% +231 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-8, 43% -233

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 25-17, 60% -199 New York Yankees Home Games: 25-16, 61% -70 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 10-4, 71% +157 New York Yankees Home Games: 7-7, 50% -385

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 18-19, 49% -290 New York Yankees Home Games: 19-13, 59% + 470 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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