The Pittsburgh Pirates are 20-21 at home this season and the New York Mets are 19-22 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Mitch Keller has a 59% chance of a QS and David Peterson a 54% chance. If Mitch Keller has a quality start the Pirates has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 48%. If David Peterson has a quality start the Mets has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 66% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| New York Mets | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-22, 46% -662 | Record at Home | 20-21, 49% -17 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-1, 67% 10 | VS New York Mets | 1-2, 33% 20 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 25-16, 61% -288 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-42, 35% -1053 | New York Mets |
| Record as Road Favorite | 11-9, 55% -256 | Record as Home Underdog | 12-12, 50% 271 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When David Peterson Starts | 9-6, 60% -20 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 3-13, 19% -1047 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| New York Mets | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% -246 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 200 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 12-8, 60% -237 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-12, 40% -217 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-0, 100% 106 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-2, 67% 260 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When David Peterson Starts | 2-3, 40% -234 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 0-5, 0% -500 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 17-23, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-21, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN David Peterson STARTS | 6-8, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS | 5-10, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 27-14, 66% +734 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 19-22, 46% -273 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 8-5, 62% +51 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-6, 50% -28
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 26-15, 63% +390 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 18-23, 44% -890 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 10-3, 77% +283 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-7, 42% -322
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 19-15, 56% + 250 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 16-18, 47% -380 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-6, 40% -260
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