The San Diego Padres are 24-14 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 17-23 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Nick Pivetta has a 55% chance of a QS and MacKenzie Gore a 53% chance. If Nick Pivetta has a quality start the Padres has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 59%. If MacKenzie Gore has a quality start the Nationals has a 61% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 44%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.32 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-23, 42% -12 | Record at Home | 24-14, 63% 287 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 1-1, 50% 44 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-1, 50% -41 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 19-29, 40% -180 | vs Team Under .500 | 25-8, 76% 1055 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-20, 43% 134 | Record As Home Favorite | 19-10, 66% 171 | San Diego Padres |
| When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 6-10, 38% -351 | When Nick Pivetta Starts | 8-6, 57% 127 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% 189 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% -51 | Washington Nationals |
| VS San Diego Padres | 1-1, 50% 44 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-1, 50% -41 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-11, 35% -169 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-4, 64% 56 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-8, 43% 189 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-3, 67% 63 | Washington Nationals |
| When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 2-3, 40% -80 | When Nick Pivetta Starts | 1-3, 25% -249 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-19, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-22, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-4, 71% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN MacKenzie Gore STARTS | 8-8, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS | 7-7, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 22-18, 55% -60 San Diego Padres Home Games: 17-21, 45% -231 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-7, 50% -111 San Diego Padres Home Games: 8-6, 57% +252
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 24-16, 60% -104 San Diego Padres Home Games: 23-15, 61% +48 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-6, 57% -215 San Diego Padres Home Games: 10-4, 71% +275
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 16-21, 43% -710 San Diego Padres Home Games: 20-13, 61% + 570 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 40 San Diego Padres Home Games: 8-5, 62% + 250
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