The Tampa Bay Rays are 17-12 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 19-20 at home. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Michael Wacha has a 53% chance of a QS and Drew Rasmussen a 53% chance. If Michael Wacha has a quality start the Royals has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 47%. If Drew Rasmussen has a quality start the Rays has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Maikel Garcia who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Jonathan Aranda who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-12, 59% 813 | Record at Home | 19-20, 49% -539 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 1-3, 25% -182 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 3-1, 75% 320 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 20-21, 49% -617 | vs Team .500 or Better | 18-28, 39% -655 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-3, 25% -232 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-5, 55% 150 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 8-7, 53% -89 | When Michael Wacha Starts | 8-7, 53% 153 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-4, 64% 400 | Record at Home | 2-11, 15% -848 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 1-0, 100% 118 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-1, 0% -100 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-2, 71% 198 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% 215 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-4, 33% -148 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Drew Rasmussen Starts | 4-1, 80% 205 | When Michael Wacha Starts | 2-2, 50% 54 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-16, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-24, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-44, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Drew Rasmussen STARTS | 4-11, 27% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Michael Wacha STARTS | 5-9, 36% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 18-11, 62% +846 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 22-17, 56% +351 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-5, 55% +22 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 6-7, 46% -20
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 14-15, 48% -396 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 23-16, 59% +138 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-6, 45% -178 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 5-8, 38% -354
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 13-13, 50% -130 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 26-13, 67% + 1170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 6-7, 46% -170
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
