The Philadelphia Phillies are 21-18 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 28-13 at home. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Colton Gordon. Zack Wheeler has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Colton Gordon has a 37% chance of a QS. If Zack Wheeler has a quality start the Phillies has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.5 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 62%. In Colton Gordon quality starts the Astros win 60%. He has a 53% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 72% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-18, 54% -448 | Record at Home | 28-13, 68% 802 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-0, 100% 66 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-21, 52% -419 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-19, 55% -8 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 19-12, 61% -55 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-1, 80% 339 | Houston Astros |
| When Zack Wheeler Starts | 11-4, 73% 192 | When Colton Gordon Starts | 2-2, 50% -36 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -438 | Record at Home | 10-3, 77% 338 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-0, 100% 66 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% -246 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-3, 62% 24 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-5, 44% -238 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Houston Astros |
| When Zack Wheeler Starts | 3-1, 75% 72 | When Colton Gordon Starts | 2-2, 50% -36 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-23, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-23, 41% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-41, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Zack Wheeler STARTS | 8-7, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Colton Gordon STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 21-18, 54% -447 Houston Astros Home Games: 25-16, 61% +531 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-5, 55% +24 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-5, 62% +150
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 24-15, 62% +35 Houston Astros Home Games: 24-17, 59% +45 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-5, 55% -77 Houston Astros Home Games: 9-4, 69% +151
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 20-13, 61% + 570 Houston Astros Home Games: 18-16, 53% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-1, 86% + 490 Houston Astros Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250
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