The Houston Astros are 27-13 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 21-17 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Framber Valdez has a 55% chance of a QS and Ranger Suarez a 55% chance. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 53%. If Ranger Suarez has a quality start the Phillies has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jeremy Pena who averaged 2.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 65% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-17, 55% -348 | Record at Home | 27-13, 68% 736 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-20, 53% -319 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-19, 54% -74 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-5, 29% -293 | Record As Home Favorite | 23-12, 66% 397 | Houston Astros |
| When Ranger Suarez Starts | 6-3, 67% 77 | When Framber Valdez Starts | 9-5, 64% 175 | Houston Astros |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-7, 36% -438 | Record at Home | 10-3, 77% 392 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% -146 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-2, 50% -76 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-3, 75% 272 | Houston Astros |
| When Ranger Suarez Starts | 3-2, 60% 24 | When Framber Valdez Starts | 3-0, 100% 194 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-22, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-22, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-41, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ranger Suarez STARTS | 3-5, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS | 6-8, 43% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 21-17, 55% -347 Houston Astros Home Games: 25-15, 62% +631 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-4, 64% +274 Houston Astros Home Games: 9-4, 69% +370
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 23-15, 61% -31 Houston Astros Home Games: 23-17, 58% -21 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-6, 45% -243 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-5, 62% -15
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 20-13, 61% + 570 Houston Astros Home Games: 18-16, 53% + 40 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 7-1, 88% + 590 Houston Astros Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250
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