The Detroit Tigers are 26-12 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Athletics who are 17-21 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Tarik Skubal is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics starter Luis Severino. Tarik Skubal has a 66% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Severino has a 40% chance of a QS. If Tarik Skubal has a quality start the Tigers has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.4 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 73%. In Luis Severino quality starts the Athletics win 50%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 50% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Jacob Wilson who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 41% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Athletics | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-21, 45% -301 | Record at Home | 26-12, 68% 688 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Athletics | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 12-32, 27% -1704 | vs Team Under .500 | 25-10, 71% 793 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-20, 33% -708 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-10, 68% 305 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Luis Severino Starts | 5-11, 31% -594 | When Tarik Skubal Starts | 10-5, 67% -3 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Athletics | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-9, 25% -505 | Record at Home | 9-4, 69% 265 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Athletics | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-9, 36% -281 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-4, 64% 107 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-9, 25% -505 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-3, 70% 150 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Luis Severino Starts | 1-4, 20% -268 | When Tarik Skubal Starts | 3-2, 60% -62 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Athletics | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-15, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 14-22, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-3, 73% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Luis Severino STARTS | 10-4, 71% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tarik Skubal STARTS | 6-8, 43% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 21-17, 55% +276 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 21-17, 55% +280 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 9-3, 75% +438 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-6, 54% +139
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 22-16, 58% -236 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 25-13, 66% +429 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 9-3, 75% +231 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 8-5, 62% +91
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Athletics Road Games: 17-17, 50% -170 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 18-15, 55% + 150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Athletics Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-8, 33% -480
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