June 23, 2025 10:28 AM EST

Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles 6/23/2025

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The Baltimore Orioles are 16-19 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 15-24 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Trevor Rogers is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Patrick Corbin. Trevor Rogers has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Patrick Corbin has a 43% chance of a QS. If Trevor Rogers has a quality start the Orioles has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 61%. In Patrick Corbin quality starts the Rangers win 64%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ryan O\'Hearn who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 60% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Texas RangersRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-24, 38% -1022Record at Home16-19, 46% -671Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS Texas Rangers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50018-13, 58% -55vs Team .500 or Better21-26, 45% -418Texas Rangers
Record As Road Underdog9-16, 36% -635Record As Home Favorite11-15, 42% -772Texas Rangers
When Patrick Corbin Starts5-8, 38% -335When Trevor Rogers Starts1-1, 50% 2Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Texas RangersRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% -107Record at Home8-4, 67% 138Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS Texas Rangers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -360vs Team .500 or Better7-9, 44% -93Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog3-4, 43% -67Record As Home Favorite6-2, 75% 150Baltimore Orioles
When Patrick Corbin Starts2-3, 40% -82When Trevor Rogers Starts1-1, 50% 2Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-24, 38% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-15, 56% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-7, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-35, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-37, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Patrick Corbin STARTS6-7, 46% OverOVER-UNDER IN Trevor Rogers STARTS1-1, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 19-20, 49% -534 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 20-15, 57% +568 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 6-8, 43% -236 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-6, 50% -81

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 22-17, 56% -72 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 20-15, 57% +182 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 8-6, 57% -21 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 11-1, 92% +694

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 20-15, 57% + 350 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 15-17, 47% -370 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260

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