The Los Angeles Dodgers are 29-14 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 16-21 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Shohei Ohtani (b) is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Mike Soroka. Shohei Ohtani (b) has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mike Soroka has a 32% chance of a QS. If Shohei Ohtani (b) has a quality start the Dodgers has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 72%. In Mike Soroka quality starts the Nationals win 55%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 40% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
Washington Nationals | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 16-21, 43% 44 | Record at Home | 29-14, 67% 83 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 3-2, 60% 326 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-3, 40% -196 | Washington Nationals |
vs Team .500 or Better | 18-27, 40% -124 | vs Team Under .500 | 21-11, 66% -108 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
Record As Road Underdog | 14-18, 44% 190 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-14, 67% -19 | Washington Nationals |
When Mike Soroka Starts | 3-6, 33% -189 | When Shohei Ohtani (p) Starts | 0-0 No Games | Los Angeles Dodgers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 5-6, 45% 245 | Record at Home | 10-6, 62% 51 | Washington Nationals |
VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 1-1, 50% 116 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-1, 50% -50 | Washington Nationals |
vs Team .500 or Better | 6-11, 35% -193 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-2, 60% -10 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% 245 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-6, 60% -51 | Washington Nationals |
When Mike Soroka Starts | 2-3, 40% -34 | When Shohei Ohtani (p) Starts | 0-0 No Games | Los Angeles Dodgers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Washington Nationals | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-18, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 27-14, 66% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-3, 73% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-4, 71% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-33, 61% Over | OVER |
OVER-UNDER IN Mike Soroka STARTS | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Shohei Ohtani (p) STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 19-18, 51% -300 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-22, 49% -568 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -351 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-6, 62% +222
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 22-15, 59% -100 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 28-15, 65% -82 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-5, 55% -211 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-6, 62% +51
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 15-19, 44% -590 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-13, 62% + 670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170
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