June 22, 2025 8:37 AM EST

Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Dodgers 6/22/2025

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 29-14 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 16-21 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Shohei Ohtani (b) is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Mike Soroka. Shohei Ohtani (b) has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mike Soroka has a 32% chance of a QS. If Shohei Ohtani (b) has a quality start the Dodgers has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 72%. In Mike Soroka quality starts the Nationals win 55%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 40% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Washington NationalsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-21, 43% 44Record at Home29-14, 67% 83Los Angeles Dodgers
VS Los Angeles Dodgers3-2, 60% 326VS Washington Nationals2-3, 40% -196Washington Nationals
vs Team .500 or Better18-27, 40% -124vs Team Under .50021-11, 66% -108Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog14-18, 44% 190Record As Home Favorite28-14, 67% -19Washington Nationals
When Mike Soroka Starts3-6, 33% -189When Shohei Ohtani (p) Starts0-0 No GamesLos Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Washington NationalsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% 245Record at Home10-6, 62% 51Washington Nationals
VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-1, 50% 116VS Washington Nationals1-1, 50% -50Washington Nationals
vs Team .500 or Better6-11, 35% -193vs Team Under .5003-2, 60% -10Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog5-6, 45% 245Record As Home Favorite9-6, 60% -51Washington Nationals
When Mike Soroka Starts2-3, 40% -34When Shohei Ohtani (p) Starts0-0 No GamesLos Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington NationalsRECORDLos Angeles DodgersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-18, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-14, 66% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-3, 73% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-4, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-39, 50% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON51-33, 61% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Mike Soroka STARTS4-5, 44% OverOVER-UNDER IN Shohei Ohtani (p) STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 19-18, 51% -300 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-22, 49% -568 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -351 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-6, 62% +222

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 22-15, 59% -100 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 28-15, 65% -82 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-5, 55% -211 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-6, 62% +51

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 15-19, 44% -590 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-13, 62% + 670 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170

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