June 22, 2025 8:37 AM EST

Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates 6/22/2025

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The Texas Rangers are 15-23 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 19-21 at home. The Rangers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Bailey Falter has a 45% chance of a QS and Jack Leiter a 49% chance. If Bailey Falter has a quality start the Pirates has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 52%. If Jack Leiter has a quality start the Rangers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 63%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 71% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Texas RangersRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-23, 39% -922Record at Home19-21, 48% -110Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates2-0, 100% 145VS Texas Rangers0-2, 0% -200Texas Rangers
vs Team Under .50018-9, 67% 345vs Team .500 or Better20-39, 34% -1215Texas Rangers
Record as Road Favorite6-7, 46% -287Record as Home Underdog11-12, 48% 178Pittsburgh Pirates
When Jack Leiter Starts4-8, 33% -434When Bailey Falter Starts8-7, 53% 380Pittsburgh Pirates

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates

Texas RangersRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-7, 50% -107Record at Home8-6, 57% 176Pittsburgh Pirates
VS Pittsburgh Pirates2-0, 100% 145VS Texas Rangers0-2, 0% -200Texas Rangers
vs Team Under .50010-7, 59% 28vs Team .500 or Better11-13, 46% 188Pittsburgh Pirates
Record as Road Favorite4-3, 57% -40Record as Home Underdog3-3, 50% 67Pittsburgh Pirates
When Jack Leiter Starts1-4, 20% -290When Bailey Falter Starts3-2, 60% 163Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Texas RangersRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD14-24, 37% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-21, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-8, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-8, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-35, 56% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-38, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jack Leiter STARTS3-9, 25% OverOVER-UNDER IN Bailey Falter STARTS6-7, 46% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 19-19, 50% -434 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 19-21, 48% -173 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 6-8, 43% -236 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 7-7, 50% -41

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 22-16, 58% +28 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 18-22, 45% -790 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 8-6, 57% -21 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 7-7, 50% -167

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 20-14, 59% + 460 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 16-17, 48% -270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270

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