The Los Angeles Angels are 16-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 17-20 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels starter Kyle Hendricks is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Ryan Gusto. Kyle Hendricks has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ryan Gusto has a 38% chance of a QS. If Kyle Hendricks has a quality start the Angels has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 61%. In Ryan Gusto quality starts the Astros win 68%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-20, 46% -530 | Record at Home | 16-17, 48% -98 | Los Angeles Angels |
| VS Los Angeles Angels | 3-2, 60% -11 | VS Houston Astros | 2-3, 40% -87 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team Under .500 | 19-11, 63% 366 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-23, 52% 1242 | Los Angeles Angels |
| Record as Road Favorite | 11-10, 52% -250 | Record as Home Underdog | 10-13, 43% -124 | Los Angeles Angels |
| When Ryan Gusto Starts | 4-5, 44% -210 | When Kyle Hendricks Starts | 7-8, 47% 156 | Los Angeles Angels |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-5, 58% 43 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% -97 | Houston Astros |
| VS Los Angeles Angels | 1-1, 50% -47 | VS Houston Astros | 1-1, 50% -17 | Los Angeles Angels |
| vs Team Under .500 | 16-7, 70% 493 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-9, 40% -7 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-3, 67% 107 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-5, 29% -253 | Houston Astros |
| When Ryan Gusto Starts | 1-3, 25% -244 | When Kyle Hendricks Starts | 3-2, 60% 197 | Los Angeles Angels |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-19, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-16, 52% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Gusto STARTS | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Hendricks STARTS | 7-8, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 18-19, 49% -204 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 17-16, 52% +234 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 4-8, 33% -375 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-8, 43% -265
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 22-15, 59% +324 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 21-12, 64% +509 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 9-3, 75% +443 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 10-4, 71% +290
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 14-14, 50% -140 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 13-15, 46% -350 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50
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