The San Francisco Giants are 24-14 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 18-21 on the road this season. The Giants have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants starter Robbie Ray is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Lucas Giolito. Robbie Ray has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Lucas Giolito has a 38% chance of a QS. If Robbie Ray has a quality start the Giants has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 65%. In Lucas Giolito quality starts the Red Sox win 62%. He has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Abraham Toro who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-21, 46% -235 | Record at Home | 24-14, 63% 291 | San Francisco Giants |
| VS San Francisco Giants | 1-1, 50% 9 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-1, 50% -18 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 24-21, 53% 403 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-24, 51% -76 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-12, 50% 218 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-14, 59% -109 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Lucas Giolito Starts | 7-3, 70% 442 | When Robbie Ray Starts | 12-3, 80% 701 | San Francisco Giants |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% 144 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 81 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS San Francisco Giants | 1-1, 50% 9 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-1, 50% -18 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-8, 53% 198 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-8, 33% -386 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-6, 45% 76 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-5, 44% -224 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Lucas Giolito Starts | 4-1, 80% 363 | When Robbie Ray Starts | 3-2, 60% -13 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-19, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 14-24, 37% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-9, 25% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-41, 48% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Lucas Giolito STARTS | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Robbie Ray STARTS | 5-10, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 18-21, 46% -558 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 20-18, 53% -60 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 6-8, 43% -55 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 7-5, 58% +231
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 20-19, 51% -314 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 20-18, 53% -415 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-9, 36% -572 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 6-6, 50% -101
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 14-21, 40% -910 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 18-15, 55% + 150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 4-9, 31% -590 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
