The Los Angeles Dodgers are 29-13 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 15-21 on the road this season. The Dodgers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Dodgers starter Dustin May is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Jake Irvin. Dustin May has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jake Irvin has a 31% chance of a QS. If Dustin May has a quality start the Dodgers has a 90% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 77%. In Jake Irvin quality starts the Nationals win 48%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 48% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Shohei Ohtani (b) who averaged 2.78 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 83% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 39% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 15-21, 42% -172 | Record at Home | 29-13, 69% 183 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 2-2, 50% 110 | VS Washington Nationals | 2-2, 50% -96 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 17-27, 39% -340 | vs Team Under .500 | 21-10, 68% -8 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-18, 42% -26 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-13, 68% 81 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Jake Irvin Starts | 7-8, 47% 105 | When Dustin May Starts | 7-5, 58% -79 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% 29 | Record at Home | 10-5, 67% 151 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-0, 100% 50 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-9, 31% -311 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-3, 73% 207 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-6, 40% 29 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-5, 64% 49 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
| When Jake Irvin Starts | 2-3, 40% 5 | When Dustin May Starts | 3-0, 100% 218 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-18, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 26-14, 65% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-33, 61% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jake Irvin STARTS | 8-6, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Dustin May STARTS | 5-6, 45% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 19-17, 53% -200 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-21, 50% -468 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -251 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-5, 67% +322
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 22-14, 61% 0 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 28-14, 67% +18 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-4, 60% -111 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 10-5, 67% +151
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 15-18, 45% -480 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 21-12, 64% + 780 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280
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