The Pittsburgh Pirates are 19-20 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Texas Rangers who are 14-23 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Mitch Keller is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers starter Kumar Rocker. Mitch Keller has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kumar Rocker has a 26% chance of a QS. If Mitch Keller has a quality start the Pirates has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 62%. In Kumar Rocker quality starts the Rangers win 73%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 73% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.7 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 14-23, 38% -1015 | Record at Home | 19-20, 49% -10 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 1-0, 100% 52 | VS Texas Rangers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 15-8, 65% 112 | vs Team .500 or Better | 20-39, 34% -1215 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-16, 33% -728 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-8, 50% -188 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Kumar Rocker Starts | 4-4, 50% -102 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 3-12, 20% -947 | Texas Rangers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% -300 | Record at Home | 8-6, 57% 176 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 1-0, 100% 52 | VS Texas Rangers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-7, 56% -65 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-10, 50% 303 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-5, 29% -260 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-2, 71% 209 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Kumar Rocker Starts | 1-1, 50% -47 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 1-4, 20% -313 | Texas Rangers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-23, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-20, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-38, 53% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kumar Rocker STARTS | 4-4, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS | 5-9, 36% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 19-18, 51% -334 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 19-20, 49% -73 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 6-8, 43% -236 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-6, 57% +142
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 22-15, 59% +128 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 18-21, 46% -690 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 9-5, 64% +141 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-6, 57% +16
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 20-13, 61% + 570 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 16-16, 50% -160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
