The Philadelphia Phillies are 25-13 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 18-21 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Mick Abel is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter Griffin Canning. Mick Abel has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Griffin Canning has a 34% chance of a QS. If Mick Abel has a quality start the Phillies has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 62%. In Griffin Canning quality starts the Mets win 67%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-21, 46% -656 | Record at Home | 25-13, 66% 252 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 3-1, 75% 198 | VS New York Mets | 1-3, 25% -258 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 24-21, 53% 47 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-19, 54% -306 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-12, 37% -400 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-13, 62% -158 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Griffin Canning Starts | 11-4, 73% 561 | When Mick Abel Starts | 1-2, 33% -124 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| New York Mets | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-6, 45% -240 | Record at Home | 8-5, 62% 50 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS New York Mets | 1-0, 100% 42 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-7, 36% -272 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-6, 54% -133 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-6, 25% -346 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-5, 58% -41 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Griffin Canning Starts | 3-3, 50% -30 | When Mick Abel Starts | 1-2, 33% -124 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-22, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-17, 54% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Griffin Canning STARTS | 6-8, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mick Abel STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 26-13, 67% +673 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 24-14, 63% +103 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-4, 64% +73 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-5, 62% +50
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 25-14, 64% +403 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 25-13, 66% +252 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 9-2, 82% +296 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 8-5, 62% +50
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 18-14, 56% + 260 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 10-20, 33% -1200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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