The Minnesota Twins are 19-13 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 18-20 on the road this season. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins starter Joe Ryan is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Freddy Peralta. Joe Ryan has a 56% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Freddy Peralta has a 42% chance of a QS. If Joe Ryan has a quality start the Twins has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 64%. In Freddy Peralta quality starts the Brewers win 59%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Matt Wallner who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 55% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-20, 47% -187 | Record at Home | 19-13, 59% 136 | Minnesota Twins |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 2-2, 50% -2 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-2, 50% -28 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 30-27, 53% 248 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-30, 39% -1170 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-16, 43% -177 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-13, 55% -214 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Freddy Peralta Starts | 7-7, 50% -221 | When Joe Ryan Starts | 7-7, 50% -169 | Minnesota Twins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-4, 69% 603 | Record at Home | 4-6, 40% -227 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Minnesota Twins | 1-0, 100% 133 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-6, 45% -130 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-10, 23% -767 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-4, 64% 452 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-6, 33% -389 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Freddy Peralta Starts | 2-2, 50% -68 | When Joe Ryan Starts | 3-2, 60% 1 | Minnesota Twins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Minnesota Twins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-20, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 14-17, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 4-10, 29% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Joe Ryan STARTS | 4-9, 31% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 21-17, 55% -8 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 18-14, 56% +350 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 4-9, 31% -539 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 5-5, 50% +115
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 23-15, 61% +186 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 19-13, 59% +233 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 5-8, 38% -415 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-4, 60% +206
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 17-13, 57% + 270 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 15-11, 58% + 290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250
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