June 21, 2025 9:29 AM EST

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels 6/21/2025

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The Los Angeles Angels are 15-17 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 17-19 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Jose Soriano has a 50% chance of a QS and Brandon Walter a 48% chance. If Jose Soriano has a quality start the Angels has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 63%. If Brandon Walter has a quality start the Astros has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road17-19, 47% -430Record at Home15-17, 47% -181Los Angeles Angels
VS Los Angeles Angels3-1, 75% 89VS Houston Astros1-3, 25% -170Houston Astros
vs Team Under .50014-9, 61% 115vs Team .500 or Better24-26, 48% 859Los Angeles Angels
Record As Road Underdog6-9, 40% -180Record As Home Favorite5-4, 56% -57Los Angeles Angels
When Brandon Walter Starts1-1, 50% -31When Jose Soriano Starts6-9, 40% -249Houston Astros

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-4, 64% 143Record at Home6-7, 46% -180Houston Astros
VS Los Angeles Angels1-0, 100% 53VS Houston Astros0-1, 0% -100Houston Astros
vs Team Under .50017-6, 74% 707vs Team .500 or Better5-9, 36% -90Houston Astros
Record As Road Underdog1-1, 50% 36Record As Home Favorite4-2, 67% 73Los Angeles Angels
When Brandon Walter Starts1-0, 100% 69When Jose Soriano Starts3-2, 60% 161Los Angeles Angels

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston AstrosRECORDLos Angeles AngelsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD14-19, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-16, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON29-48, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Walter STARTS0-2, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jose Soriano STARTS7-8, 47% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 17-19, 47% -287 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 16-16, 50% +151 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 3-8, 27% -458 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-8, 38% -348

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 21-15, 58% +241 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 20-12, 62% +426 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 8-3, 73% +360 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 9-4, 69% +207

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 14-13, 52% -30 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 13-14, 48% -240 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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