June 21, 2025 9:29 AM EST

Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays 6/21/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Tampa Bay Rays are 26-22 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 21-17 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Ryan Pepiot has a 52% chance of a QS and Sawyer Gipson-Long a 48% chance. If Ryan Pepiot has a quality start the Rays has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 51%. If Sawyer Gipson-Long has a quality start the Tigers has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Jonathan Aranda who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 1.99 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 65% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Detroit TigersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road21-17, 55% 27Record at Home26-22, 54% -205Detroit Tigers
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-1, 0% -100VS Detroit Tigers1-0, 100% 89Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team .500 or Better29-22, 57% 321vs Team .500 or Better27-21, 56% 759Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog9-9, 50% 96Record As Home Favorite22-15, 59% 75Detroit Tigers
When Sawyer Gipson-Long Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Ryan Pepiot Starts6-10, 38% -511Detroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Detroit TigersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-5, 55% -36Record at Home13-4, 76% 588Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-1, 0% -100VS Detroit Tigers1-0, 100% 89Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team .500 or Better8-5, 62% 122vs Team .500 or Better12-6, 67% 575Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog2-1, 67% 136Record As Home Favorite12-3, 80% 595Tampa Bay Rays
When Sawyer Gipson-Long Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Ryan Pepiot Starts3-2, 60% 40Tampa Bay Rays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-15, 61% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-28, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-11, 31% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-42, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Sawyer Gipson-Long STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS5-11, 31% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 24-14, 63% +566 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 28-20, 58% +409 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-3, 73% +523 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 10-7, 59% +71

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 23-15, 61% +93 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 30-18, 62% +534 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-4, 64% +110 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 12-5, 71% +418

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 21-13, 62% + 670 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 27-15, 64% + 1050 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 12-4, 75% + 760

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW