June 21, 2025 9:29 AM EST

Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays 6/21/2025

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 24-15 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago White Sox who are 8-31 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios is forecasted to have a better game than White Sox starter Aaron Civale. Jose Berrios has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Aaron Civale has a 44% chance of a QS. If Jose Berrios has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 63%. In Aaron Civale quality starts the White Sox win 67%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago White Sox is Mike Tauchman who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the White Sox have a 60% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Chicago White SoxRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-31, 21% -1616Record at Home24-15, 62% 482Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays1-0, 100% 177VS Chicago White Sox0-1, 0% -100Chicago White Sox
vs Team .500 or Better17-38, 31% -989vs Team Under .50015-8, 65% 432Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog8-31, 21% -1616Record As Home Favorite14-9, 61% 42Toronto Blue Jays
When Aaron Civale Starts3-4, 43% -163When Jose Berrios Starts8-7, 53% 36Toronto Blue Jays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Chicago White SoxRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-10, 23% -470Record at Home9-3, 75% 380Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays1-0, 100% 177VS Chicago White Sox0-1, 0% -100Chicago White Sox
vs Team .500 or Better5-12, 29% -370vs Team Under .5009-3, 75% 458Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog3-10, 23% -470Record As Home Favorite6-2, 75% 185Toronto Blue Jays
When Aaron Civale Starts2-3, 40% -125When Jose Berrios Starts3-3, 50% -55Toronto Blue Jays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago White SoxRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-25, 34% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-14, 61% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-9, 31% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-2, 80% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-34, 56% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Aaron Civale STARTS2-5, 29% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jose Berrios STARTS8-7, 53% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 20-19, 51% -112 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 22-17, 56% +296 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 5-8, 38% -300 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-5, 58% +152

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 31-8, 79% +511 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 23-16, 59% +208 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 10-3, 77% +152 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 9-3, 75% +378

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 24-13, 65% + 970 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 17-17, 50% -170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago White Sox Road Games: 8-4, 67% + 360 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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