The Arizona Diamondbacks are 18-18 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 7-27 at home. The Diamondbacks have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Carson Palmquist. Merrill Kelly has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Carson Palmquist has a 23% chance of a QS. If Merrill Kelly has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 66%. In Carson Palmquist quality starts the Rockies win 62%. He has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Sam Hilliard who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 45% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 3.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 60% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 76% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-18, 50% -5 | Record at Home | 7-27, 21% -1523 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Colorado Rockies | 3-1, 75% 4 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-3, 25% -30 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team Under .500 | 15-10, 60% 118 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-46, 13% -3182 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-8, 43% -396 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-26, 19% -1512 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Merrill Kelly Starts | 8-6, 57% 60 | When Carson Palmquist Starts | 1-3, 25% -133 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-7, 42% -132 | Record at Home | 2-9, 18% -462 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Colorado Rockies | 1-0, 100% 52 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-1, 0% -100 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-5, 69% 428 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-15, 12% -1062 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-3, 25% -248 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-9, 18% -462 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Merrill Kelly Starts | 2-2, 50% 4 | When Carson Palmquist Starts | 1-3, 25% -133 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Colorado Rockies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-15, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-16, 53% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Merrill Kelly STARTS | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Carson Palmquist STARTS | 1-3, 25% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 20-16, 56% -6 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 20-14, 59% -102 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 4-8, 33% -379 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 4-7, 36% -570
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 21-15, 58% +221 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 26-8, 76% +574 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 7-5, 58% +134 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 9-2, 82% +138
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 12-18, 40% -780 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 15-19, 44% -590 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Colorado Rockies Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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