June 20, 2025 4:40 AM EST

Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays 6/20/2025

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The Tampa Bay Rays are 25-22 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 21-16 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Shane Baz has a 46% chance of a QS and Jack Flaherty a 43% chance. If Shane Baz has a quality start the Rays has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 53%. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Tigers has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Detroit TigersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road21-16, 57% 127Record at Home25-22, 53% -294Detroit Tigers
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better29-21, 58% 421vs Team .500 or Better26-21, 55% 670Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog9-8, 53% 196Record As Home Favorite21-15, 58% -14Detroit Tigers
When Jack Flaherty Starts7-9, 44% -395When Shane Baz Starts11-3, 79% 724Tampa Bay Rays

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

Detroit TigersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-4, 64% 159Record at Home13-4, 76% 619Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better10-5, 67% 286vs Team .500 or Better12-6, 67% 606Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog3-0, 100% 331Record As Home Favorite11-3, 79% 506Tampa Bay Rays
When Jack Flaherty Starts3-3, 50% -84When Shane Baz Starts5-0, 100% 482Tampa Bay Rays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-15, 59% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-28, 36% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-11, 31% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-42, 46% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS8-7, 53% OverOVER-UNDER IN Shane Baz STARTS8-6, 57% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 23-14, 62% +477 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 27-20, 57% +320 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-3, 73% +434 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 10-7, 59% +102

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 22-15, 59% +4 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 29-18, 62% +445 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-4, 64% +116 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 11-6, 65% +229

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 21-12, 64% + 780 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 27-14, 66% + 1160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 12-4, 75% + 760

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