The New York Yankees are 22-15 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 16-23 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Max Fried is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano. Max Fried has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tomoyuki Sugano has a 39% chance of a QS. If Max Fried has a quality start the Yankees has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 72%. In Tomoyuki Sugano quality starts the Orioles win 51%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ryan O\'Hearn who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 41% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 16-23, 41% -709 | Record at Home | 22-15, 59% -175 | New York Yankees |
| VS New York Yankees | 2-1, 67% 108 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-2, 33% -132 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 22-34, 39% -1244 | vs Team Under .500 | 14-8, 64% -9 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-17, 43% -330 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-15, 58% -268 | New York Yankees |
| When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts | 7-5, 58% 129 | When Max Fried Starts | 12-3, 80% 309 | New York Yankees |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-6, 60% 356 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% -283 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-0 No Games | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-6, 60% 221 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-10, 38% -604 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-4, 67% 473 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-6, 50% -283 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts | 3-2, 60% 86 | When Max Fried Starts | 3-2, 60% -88 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-25, 34% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-21, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-10, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tomoyuki Sugano STARTS | 4-8, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Max Fried STARTS | 7-7, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 19-20, 49% -367 New York Yankees Home Games: 17-20, 46% -514 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 3-12, 20% -964 New York Yankees Home Games: 4-8, 33% -293
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 21-18, 54% -101 New York Yankees Home Games: 22-15, 59% -117 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-11, 27% -785 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-6, 50% -283
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 27-10, 73% + 1600 New York Yankees Home Games: 16-13, 55% + 170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 10-5, 67% + 450 New York Yankees Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360
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