The Athletics are 13-24 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 15-18 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Luis Severino has a 52% chance of a QS and Framber Valdez a 52% chance. If Luis Severino has a quality start the Athletics has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 53%. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Jacob Wilson who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Athletics | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 15-18, 45% -444 | Record at Home | 13-24, 35% -963 | Houston Astros |
| VS Athletics | 3-1, 75% 86 | VS Houston Astros | 1-3, 25% -172 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team Under .500 | 15-11, 58% 15 | vs Team .500 or Better | 11-32, 26% -1757 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 9-9, 50% -264 | Record as Home Underdog | 11-15, 42% -148 | Athletics |
| When Framber Valdez Starts | 8-5, 62% 114 | When Luis Severino Starts | 5-10, 33% -494 | Houston Astros |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Athletics | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% 43 | Record at Home | 5-11, 31% -430 | Houston Astros |
| VS Athletics | 3-1, 75% 86 | VS Houston Astros | 1-3, 25% -172 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-4, 76% 589 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-17, 19% -1190 | Houston Astros |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-3, 57% -7 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-7, 42% -30 | Houston Astros |
| When Framber Valdez Starts | 3-0, 100% 215 | When Luis Severino Starts | 1-4, 20% -268 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Astros | RECORD | Athletics | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 13-18, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-14, 62% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-7, 56% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 29-48, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-42, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS | 5-8, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luis Severino STARTS | 9-4, 69% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 16-17, 48% -196 Athletics Home Games: 15-22, 41% -773 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 5-6, 45% -46 Athletics Home Games: 5-11, 31% -474
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 18-15, 55% +18 Athletics Home Games: 18-19, 49% -621 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-4, 64% +238 Athletics Home Games: 6-10, 38% -593
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Houston Astros Road Games: 13-12, 52% -20 Athletics Home Games: 19-17, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Houston Astros Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Athletics Home Games: 8-7, 53% + 30
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