The Washington Nationals are 15-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 9-30 on the road this season. The Nationals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals starter Mitchell Parker is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter German Marquez. Mitchell Parker has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while German Marquez has a 30% chance of a QS. If Mitchell Parker has a quality start the Nationals has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 65%. In German Marquez quality starts the Rockies win 64%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 64% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.71 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 48% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Sam Hilliard who averaged 2.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-30, 23% -1595 | Record at Home | 15-23, 39% -354 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Washington Nationals | 3-2, 60% 228 | VS Colorado Rockies | 2-3, 40% -128 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-14, 39% -236 | vs Team Under .500 | 13-17, 43% -186 | Washington Nationals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-30, 19% -1708 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-7, 0% -700 | Washington Nationals |
| When German Marquez Starts | 3-11, 21% -441 | When Mitchell Parker Starts | 7-7, 50% 170 | Washington Nationals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Rockies
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% -40 | Record at Home | 5-11, 31% -474 | Colorado Rockies |
| VS Washington Nationals | 2-0, 100% 333 | VS Colorado Rockies | 0-2, 0% -200 | Colorado Rockies |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-2, 75% 560 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-9, 44% 115 | Colorado Rockies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-8, 33% -153 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-5, 0% -500 | Colorado Rockies |
| When German Marquez Starts | 1-3, 25% -136 | When Mitchell Parker Starts | 1-4, 20% -246 | Colorado Rockies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Washington Nationals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-25, 36% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-18, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-10, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN German Marquez STARTS | 9-5, 64% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mitchell Parker STARTS | 6-7, 46% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 28-11, 72% +1250 Washington Nationals Home Games: 19-19, 50% +203 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 11-3, 79% +643 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-9, 44% -110
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 32-7, 82% +484 Washington Nationals Home Games: 16-22, 42% -1001 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 10-4, 71% -68 Washington Nationals Home Games: 6-10, 38% -555
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 18-15, 55% + 150 Washington Nationals Home Games: 16-12, 57% + 280 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Washington Nationals Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
