The Seattle Mariners are 20-18 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 16-20 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Luis Castillo has a 55% chance of a QS and Garrett Crochet a 53% chance. If Luis Castillo has a quality start the Mariners has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 53%. If Garrett Crochet has a quality start the Red Sox has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 68% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 16-20, 44% -327 | Record at Home | 20-18, 53% -292 | Seattle Mariners |
| VS Seattle Mariners | 2-3, 40% -64 | VS Boston Red Sox | 3-2, 60% 125 | Seattle Mariners |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 21-21, 50% 88 | vs Team .500 or Better | 20-22, 48% -227 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-9, 36% -536 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-2, 67% 234 | Seattle Mariners |
| When Garrett Crochet Starts | 9-7, 56% -47 | When Luis Castillo Starts | 7-8, 47% -268 | Boston Red Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-6, 45% 52 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% -177 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Seattle Mariners | 1-1, 50% 56 | VS Boston Red Sox | 1-1, 50% -45 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-2, 60% 181 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-9, 25% -674 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-1, 50% -15 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Seattle Mariners |
| When Garrett Crochet Starts | 3-2, 60% 45 | When Luis Castillo Starts | 2-2, 50% -81 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boston Red Sox | RECORD | Seattle Mariners | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-17, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-15, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-6, 54% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-35, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-44, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Garrett Crochet STARTS | 4-12, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luis Castillo STARTS | 7-6, 54% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 17-19, 47% -440 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 16-22, 42% -671 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 5-6, 45% +63 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-7, 50% -76
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 18-18, 50% -379 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 18-20, 47% -639 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-8, 27% -637 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-7, 50% -177
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 13-19, 41% -790 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 24-11, 69% + 1190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 10-3, 77% + 670
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