The Texas Rangers are 23-13 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 15-18 on the road this season. The Rangers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rangers starter Jack Leiter is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Seth Lugo. Jack Leiter has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Seth Lugo has a 44% chance of a QS. If Jack Leiter has a quality start the Rangers has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 69%. In Seth Lugo quality starts the Royals win 60%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 15-18, 45% -76 | Record at Home | 23-13, 64% 246 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Texas Rangers | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 22-30, 42% -566 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-28, 44% -881 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-12, 52% 386 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-6, 77% 633 | Texas Rangers |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 5-7, 42% -254 | When Jack Leiter Starts | 4-7, 36% -334 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% 157 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% -25 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Texas Rangers | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-7, 42% -234 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-5, 67% 255 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-2, 71% 396 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-2, 71% 65 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | When Jack Leiter Starts | 1-4, 20% -290 | Texas Rangers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Texas Rangers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 12-19, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-26, 26% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-49, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-48, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Seth Lugo STARTS | 4-8, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jack Leiter STARTS | 3-8, 27% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 18-15, 55% +667 Texas Rangers Home Games: 17-19, 47% -551 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-5, 55% +447 Texas Rangers Home Games: 3-7, 30% -460
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 17-16, 52% -210 Texas Rangers Home Games: 23-13, 64% +215 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -277 Texas Rangers Home Games: 7-3, 70% +149
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 18-10, 64% + 700 Texas Rangers Home Games: 18-12, 60% + 480 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Texas Rangers Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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