The Philadelphia Phillies are 18-16 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 14-20 at home. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Mick Abel is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara. Mick Abel has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sandy Alcantara has a 49% chance of a QS. If Mick Abel has a quality start the Phillies has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 63%. In Sandy Alcantara quality starts the Marlins win 62%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Dane Myers who averaged 1.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 73% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-16, 53% -442 | Record at Home | 14-20, 41% -318 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 2-1, 67% -8 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-2, 33% 60 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 21-10, 68% 116 | vs Team .500 or Better | 14-28, 33% -630 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 16-11, 59% -149 | Record as Home Underdog | 12-17, 41% -165 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Mick Abel Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 5-8, 38% -299 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% -275 | Record at Home | 3-8, 27% -380 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-2, 80% 208 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-10, 41% -91 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 7-5, 58% -175 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-6, 33% -180 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Mick Abel Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | When Sandy Alcantara Starts | 2-3, 40% -130 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-19, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-17, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-8, 27% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 56-23, 71% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Mick Abel STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Sandy Alcantara STARTS | 7-6, 54% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 18-16, 53% -414 Miami Marlins Home Games: 19-15, 56% +244 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 8-5, 62% +7 Miami Marlins Home Games: 8-3, 73% +665
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 20-14, 59% -125 Miami Marlins Home Games: 19-15, 56% -198 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 8-5, 62% -80 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-5, 55% -84
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 17-13, 57% + 270 Miami Marlins Home Games: 14-17, 45% -470 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Miami Marlins Home Games: 7-3, 70% + 370
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
