The Detroit Tigers are 24-10 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cincinnati Reds who are 18-19 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Wade Miley is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Tyler Holton. Wade Miley has a 30% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Holton has a 23% chance of a QS. If Wade Miley has a quality start the Reds has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 51%. In Tyler Holton quality starts the Tigers win 80%. He has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 80% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Jahmai Jones who averaged 3.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Brandon Williamson who averaged 3.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 77% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-19, 49% 25 | Record at Home | 24-10, 71% 724 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 1-1, 50% 52 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-1, 50% -24 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 19-20, 49% -10 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-18, 57% 241 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-13, 50% 262 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-8, 71% 456 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Wade Miley Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Tyler Holton Starts | 1-0, 100% 98 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-7, 50% 100 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 1 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 1-1, 50% 52 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-1, 50% -24 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-9, 44% -130 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-4, 71% 404 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-4, 60% 323 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-4, 60% 1 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Wade Miley Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Tyler Holton Starts | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-20, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 10-22, 31% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-10, 17% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-42, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Wade Miley STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Holton STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 19-18, 51% -330 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 18-16, 53% +63 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-8, 43% -405 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-8, 33% -378
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 21-16, 57% +28 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 23-11, 68% +465 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 6-8, 43% -305 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-6, 50% -173
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 12-21, 36% -1110 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 15-15, 50% -150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 1-9, 10% -890
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