The Houston Astros are 22-12 at home this season and the Minnesota Twins are 17-18 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins starter Chris Paddack is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter Colton Gordon. Chris Paddack has a 47% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Colton Gordon has a 41% chance of a QS. If Chris Paddack has a quality start the Twins has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 59%. In Colton Gordon quality starts the Astros win 69%. He has a 64% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-18, 49% -296 | Record at Home | 22-12, 65% 499 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 1-2, 33% -120 | VS Minnesota Twins | 2-1, 67% 107 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 15-21, 42% -689 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-21, 52% -117 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-14, 36% -483 | Record As Home Favorite | 18-11, 62% 160 | Houston Astros |
| When Chris Paddack Starts | 4-8, 33% -365 | When Colton Gordon Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Houston Astros |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-5, 67% 373 | Record at Home | 8-3, 73% 321 | Minnesota Twins |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | VS Minnesota Twins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-3, 50% -46 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-4, 43% -162 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-5, 44% -49 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-3, 67% 87 | Houston Astros |
| When Chris Paddack Starts | 1-3, 25% -180 | When Colton Gordon Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-19, 42% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 14-18, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-8, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-40, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-41, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Chris Paddack STARTS | 4-7, 36% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Colton Gordon STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 21-14, 60% +222 Houston Astros Home Games: 22-12, 65% +616 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 8-7, 53% -192 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-3, 73% +339
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 26-9, 74% +1142 Houston Astros Home Games: 19-15, 56% -71 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 10-5, 67% +263 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-6, 45% -295
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 19-10, 66% + 800 Houston Astros Home Games: 17-14, 55% + 160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 9-5, 64% + 350 Houston Astros Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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